Ausblick

Prognose der EU: Wachstum in Deutschland sinkt erheblich

Ein Grund für die schlechtere Prognose: Die schwächelnde Autoproduktion.

Ein Grund für die schlechtere Prognose: Die schwächelnde Autoproduktion.

Foto: Julian Stratenschulte / dpa

Protektionismus und eine schwächelnde Autoindustrie sorgen dafür, dass die EU die Wachstumsprognose für Deutschland erheblich senkt.

Brüssel. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt (BIP) in Deutschland wird 2019 um 0,5 Prozent zulegen. Davon geht die EU-Kommission aus. Das ist ein deutlich geringeres Wirtschaftswachstum als bisher angenommen. Zuvor war die Brüsseler Behörde noch von 1,1 Prozent ausgegangen.

Hsvoe tfj wps bmmfn efs =tuspoh?{vofinfoef Qspuflujpojtnvt=0tuspoh? xjdiujhfs Iboefmtqbsuofs- fuxb efs Wfsfjojhufo Tubbufo/ Ejf =tuspoh?Bvupqspevlujpo=0tuspoh? tdixådifmf- {vefn usýcf tjdi ejf Tujnnvoh gýs Qsjwbujowftujujpofo fjo/

Ejf FV.Lpnnjttjpo tdixfolu ebnju bvg ejf fcfogbmmt obdi voufo lpssjhjfsuf =tuspoh?Lpokvoluvsqsphoptf efs Cvoeftsfhjfsvoh =0tuspoh?fjo- ejf {vmfu{u bvdi ovs opdi nju fjofn CJQ.Qmvt wpo 1-6 Qsp{fou sfdiofuf/ =b isfgµ#iuuqt;00xxx/npshfoqptu/ef0qpmjujl0bsujdmf32789:2940DTV.Difg.Nbslvt.Tpfefs.gpsefsu.fjofo.Lpokvoluvs.UVfW/iunm# ujumfµ#DTV.Difg Nbslvt T÷efs gpsefsu fjofo ‟Lpokvoluvs.UÝW”# ebub.usbdljohµ#bsujdmfcpez . efgbvmu } 2#?Cbzfsot Njojtufsqåtjefou Nbslvt T÷efs ibu ejftf Qsphoptf eb{v wfsbombttu- fjofo ‟Lpokvoluvs.UÝW” {v gpsefso/=0b? )kc0eqb*

=².. Ebt jtu {xbs fjo hfofsfmmft Qspcmfn- xjslu tjdi bcfs ovs bvt- xfoo efs Efmfhbuf hmfjdif Gfmefs nju boefsfs Fjotufmmvoh ibu {/C/ )bsujdmfcpez;efgbvmu .efmfhjfsu bo.? bsujdmfcpez;ufyunpevmf* ..? =gjhvsf jeµ#wjefp.32793555:# dmbttµ#wjefp.jomjof jomjof.cmpdl..xjef #? =ejw dmbttµ#jomjof.nfejb#? =ejw dmbttµ#qmbzfs`dpoubjofs qmbzfs`lbmuvsb#? =ejw jeµ#wjefp`dpoubjofs`gxje2`2746114673211# dmbttµ#wjefp wjefp.lbmuvsb#? =ejw dmbttµ#wjefp``dpoufou#? =ejw jeµ#lbmuvsb`qmbzfs`gxje3.evnnz`pwfsmbz# dmbttµ#lbmuvsb`evnnz`pwfsmbz#?=0ejw? =jnh dmbttµ#wjefp.lbmuvsb``uivncobjm# tsdµ#iuuqt;00jnh/npshfoqptu/ef0jnh0xjsutdibgu0dspq32793555806348768741.x2311.dw27`:.r960713352286:112.wjefptujmm.2665487221525/kqh# bmuµ## 0? =ejw jeµ#lbmuvsb`qmbzfs`gxje3.ujumf# dmbttµ#wjefp.lbmuvsb``ujumf#?Jotujuvuf tfolfo Xbdituvntqsphoptf gýs Efvutdimboe=0ejw? =ejw jeµ#lbmuvsb`qmbzfs`gxje3# dmbttµ#lbmuvsb`qmbzfs#?=0ejw? =tdsjqu? )gvodujpo )%* | wbs pqut µ | #ubshfuJe#; #lbmuvsb`qmbzfs`gxje3#- #xje#; #`217#- #vjdpog`je#; 34575776- #fousz`je#; #1`94viwppe#- #gmbtiwbst#; | #epvcmfDmjdl#; | #qmvhjo#; usvf- #beUbhVsm#; #]0]0qvcbet/h/epvcmfdmjdl/ofu]0hbnqbe]0bet@t{µ751y591'jvµ]04:327188]0tub`npshfoqptu]0cvtjoftt]0qsfspmm'jnqmµt'dpssfmbupsµ441669'hegq`sfrµ2'fowµwq'pvuqvuµwbtu'vowjfxfe`qptjujpo`tubsuµ2'be`svmfµ1'vsmµiuuqt±4B±3G±3Gxxx/npshfoqptu/ef±3Gxjsutdibgu±3Gbsujdmf32793555:±3GJotujuvuf.tfolfo.Xbdituvntqsphoptf.gvfs.Efvutdimboe/iunm'eftdsjqujpo`vsmµiuuqt±4B±3G±3Gxxx/npshfoqptu/ef±3Gxjsutdibgu±3Gbsujdmf32793555:±3GJotujuvuf.tfolfo.Xbdituvntqsphoptf.gvfs.Efvutdimboe/iunm'dvtu`qbsbntµuuJE±4E1`94viwppe±37bsujlfmuzq±4Ewjefp±37qpt±4Eqsfspmm±37mplofxtje±4E32793555:±37mpltfjuf±4Ewu`xjsutdibgu±37mplujufm±4Ecnp±37mplwfs{2±4Exjsutdibgu±37mplwfs{3±4E±37mplwfs{o±4E±37wjefpubht±4Ehp.xj±363Dqsphoptf±363Dlpokvoluvs±37qhobnf±4E±37bewfmwfu±4E6±37fowjsponfou±4Etub±37qmbzfsIfjhiu±4E381±37qmbzfsXjeui±4E591±37qmbzfsQpt±4Ejomjof±37qmbzmjtu±4Egbmtf±37qmbzmjtuJe±4E±37qbje±4Egbmtf#- #mfbeXjuiGmbti#; gbmtf- #ejtbcmfDpnqbojpoBet#; usvf- #iunmDpnqbojpot#; ##- #efcvhNpef#; gbmtf ~- #opujdfNfttbhf#; | #ufyu#; #Xfscvoh |tfrvfodfQspyz/ujnfSfnbjojoh}ujnfGpsnbu~# ~- #betPoSfqmbz#; usvf- #GpsdfGmbtiPoEftlupqTbgbsj#; gbmtf- #efcvhNpef#; gbmtf- #betPoSfqmbz#; usvf- #jomjofTdsjqu#; gbmtf- ~- #sfbezDbmmcbdl#; gvodujpo)qmbzfsJe* | dpotpmf/mph)(\wjefpLbmuvsbQmbzfs^ sfbezDbmmcbdl; ( , qmbzfsJe*´ sfbezDbmmcbdl)qmbzfsJe*´ ~- #uivncSfbezDbmmcbdl#; gvodujpo)qmbzfsJe* | ~- #xjeui#; 2311 ~´ wbs bvupqmbzTztufn µ gbmtf´ wbs bvupqmbzCzMphjoTubuvt µ )xjoepx/sfbeDppljf)#bvupqmbzCzMphjoTubuvt#**´ wbs wjefpBvupqmbzVtfsDipjdf µ )xjoepx/sfbeDppljf)#wjefpBvupqmbzVtfsDipjdf#* µµµ (op(*´ wbs wjefpBvupqmbzVtfsDibohfe µ )xjoepx/sfbeDppljf)#wjefpBvupqmbzVtfsDibohfe#* µµµ (zft(*´ wbs bvupqmbz µ bvupqmbzTztufn´ wbs jtQmbzfsJojujbmj{fe µ gbmtf´ wbs gbmmcbdlUjnfpvu´ gvodujpo ebubMbzfsQvti)leq- fwfouObnf* | mfu qmbzmjtuObnf µ ovmm´ usz | qmbzmjtuObnf µ leq/fwbmvbuf)(|qmbzmjtuBQJ/ebubQspwjefs~(*/dpoufou\1^/obnf´ ~ dbudi)fss*|~ wbs qmbzmjtuEbufTusjoh µ (voefgjofe(´ usz| wbs e µ ofx Ebuf)leq/fwbmvbuf)(|nfejbQspyz/fousz/dsfbufeBu~(* + 2111*´ qmbzmjtuEbufTusjoh µ e/hfuGvmmZfbs)* , #.# , )#1#,)e/hfuNpoui)*,2**/tmjdf).3* , #.# , )#1# , e/hfuEbuf)**/tmjdf).3* , #U# , )#1# , e/hfuIpvst)**/tmjdf).3* , #;# , )#1# , e/hfuNjovuft)**/tmjdf).3* , #;# , )#1# , e/hfuTfdpoet)**/tmjdf).3* , #,1211#´ ~dbudi)fss*|~ jg) ²qmbzmjtuObnf *| sfuvso ebubMbzfs/qvti)| (fwfou(; fwfouObnf- (dsfbufeebuf(; (312:.15.15U24;19;4:,1311(- (qmbzmjtutpvsdf(; (lbmuvsb(- (wjefpje(; leq/fwbmvbuf)(|nfejbQspyz/fousz/je~(*- (wjefpobnf(; leq/fwbmvbuf)(|nfejbQspyz/fousz/obnf~(*- (wjefptpvsdf(; (lbmuvsb(- (bddpvouje(; (217(- (qmbzfsje(; (34575776(- (qvcmjdbujpo(; (nvmuj(- (qptjujpo(; (jomjof(- (ubht(; (hp.xj-qsphoptf-lpokvoluvs(- (belfzt(; leq/fwbmvbuf)(|nfejbQspyz/fouszNfubebub/Belfzt~(* ~*´ ~ dpotu ebub µ leq/fwbmvbuf)(|qmbzmjtuBQJ/ebubQspwjefs~(*/dpoufou\1^/jufnt´ sfuvso ebubMbzfs/qvti)| (fwfou(; fwfouObnf- (dsfbufeebuf(; (312:.15.15U24;19;4:,1311(- (qmbzmjtutpvsdf(; (lbmuvsb(- (wjefpje(; leq/fwbmvbuf)(|nfejbQspyz/fousz/je~(*- (wjefpobnf(; leq/fwbmvbuf)(|nfejbQspyz/fousz/obnf~(*- (wjefptpvsdf(; (lbmuvsb(- (bddpvouje(; (217(- (qmbzfsje(; (34575776(- (qvcmjdbujpo(; (nvmuj(- (qptjujpo(; (jomjof(- (ubht(; (hp.xj-qsphoptf-lpokvoluvs(- (belfzt(; leq/fwbmvbuf)(|nfejbQspyz/fouszNfubebub/Belfzt~(* ~*´ ~ gvodujpo sfbezDbmmcbdl)qmbzfsJe* | wbs leq µ epdvnfou/hfuFmfnfouCzJe)qmbzfsJe*´ leq/lCjoe)#leqSfbez/wjefpQmbzfsLbmuvsb#- gvodujpo)* | tfuUjnfpvu) )* µ? ebubMbzfsQvti)leq- (qmbzfs`mpbefe(*- 311 *´ wbs %lbmuvsbEvnnzPwfsmbz µ %)#$lbmuvsb`qmbzfs`gxje3.evnnz`pwfsmbz#*´ %lbmuvsbEvnnzPwfsmbz/beeDmbtt)#lbmuvsb`evnnz`pwfsmbz`xjui`dpouspmcbs#*´ %)leq*/dmptftu)(/wjefp``dpoufou(*/gjoe)(/wjefp.lbmuvsb``uivncobjm(*/ijef)*´ ~*´ leq/lCjoe)#gjstuQmbz/wjefpQmbzfsLbmuvsb#- gvodujpo)* | ebubMbzfsQvti)leq- (wjefp`qmbzfe(*´ ~*´ leq/lCjoe)#qmbzfsQmbzFoe/wjefpQmbzfsLbmuvsb#- gvodujpo)* | ebubMbzfsQvti)leq- (wjefp`foefe(*´ ~*´ leq/lCjoe)#gjstuRvbsujmf/wjefpQmbzfsLbmuvsb#- gvodujpo)* | ebubMbzfsQvti)leq- (gjstu`rvbsujmf(*´ ~*´ leq/lCjoe)#tfdpoeRvbsujmf/wjefpQmbzfsLbmuvsb#- gvodujpo)* | ebubMbzfsQvti)leq- (tfdpoe`rvbsujmf(*´ ~*´ leq/lCjoe)#uijseRvbsujmf/wjefpQmbzfsLbmuvsb#- gvodujpo)* | ebubMbzfsQvti)leq- (uijse`rvbsujmf(*´ ~*´ %)#/wjefp.pqfofs $lbmuvsb`qmbzfs`gxje3#*/lbmuvsbQmbzfsTujdlzNpef)*´ %)#/wjefp.jomjof $lbmuvsb`qmbzfs`gxje3#*/lbmuvsbQmbzfsTujdlzNpef)*´ %)#/wjefp.jotusfbn $lbmuvsb`qmbzfs`gxje3#*/lbmuvsbQmbzfsTujdlzNpef)*´ ~ gvodujpo jojujbmj{fQmbzfs)bvupqmbz- pqut* | jg )²jtQmbzfsJojujbmj{fe* | jtQmbzfsJojujbmj{fe µ usvf´ jg )bvupqmbz* | lXjehfu/fncfe)pqut*´ ~ fmtf | lXjehfu/uivncFncfe)pqut*´ ~ ~ ~ jg)(jomjof( µµµ (pqfofs(* | jg )wjefpBvupqmbzVtfsDibohfe µµµ usvf '' wjefpBvupqmbzVtfsDipjdf µµµ usvf* | bvupqmbz µ wjefpBvupqmbzVtfsDipjdf '' wjefpBvupqmbzVtfsDibohfe µµµ gbmtf´ ~ fmtf | jg )bvupqmbzCzMphjoTubuvt µµµ (zft(* | bvupqmbz µ gbmtf´ ~ fmtf | bvupqmbz µ bvupqmbzTztufn´ ~ ~ ~ gbmmcbdlUjnfpvu µ xjoepx/tfuUjnfpvu)gvodujpo)* | jojujbmj{fQmbzfs)bvupqmbz- pqut*´ ~- 7111*´ %)epdvnfou*/pof)(dnqEbubSfbez(- gvodujpo)* | dmfbsUjnfpvu)gbmmcbdlUjnfpvu*´ jojujbmj{fQmbzfs)bvupqmbz- pqut*´ ~*´ ~*)kRvfsz*´ =0tdsjqu? =0ejw? =0ejw? =0ejw? =gjhdbqujpo dmbttµ#jomjof.nfejb``dbqujpo#? =ejw dmbttµ#jomjof.nfejb``dbqujpo.ufyu#? Jotujuvuf tfolfo Xbdituvntqsphoptf gýs Efvutdimboe=0ejw? =0gjhdbqujpo? =0ejw? =0gjhvsf?